Monetarist

Publication Date :

18 Aug, 2021

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Monetarist Definition

Monetarists refer to the believers of the monetarism school of thought, which propagates controlling the money supply to achieve economic stability. Economist Milton Friedman was the major advocate of monetarism theory.

As opposed to the Keynesian theory, monetarists do not believe in amending government expenditure or taxes for triggering economic growth. Instead, they believe in increasing or decreasing the money supply as a tool to influence overall consumption, demand and income generation.

Monetarist Definition

Monetarists are individuals who believe in and embrace the theory of monetarism.
Monetarism promotes utilization of monetary policies to control demand in the economy, inflation/deflation and overall economic growth.
The theory sprang to prominence in 1970s when the United States and other countries struggled with excessive inflation. Conventional economic theories like the Keynesian concept struggled to offer solutions to stagnant growth and rising prices.

Understanding Monetarist

Monetarists believe that the money supply is the guiding force in economic development. As such, monetary policies formulated and rolled out by central banks also function with this notion. Policymakers attempt to control events like unemployment, recession and inflation by adjusting the amount of money circulating in the economy through changes in the monetary policies.

For example, with a decrease in the interest rate initiated by the central bank, there tends to be an increase in the money supply as it is easier to borrow money. As a result, people can access money easily. Subsequently, purchasing power increases, and national output increases momentarily.

When this phenomenon continues uninterrupted, inflation occurs due to a greater supply of money in the economy. However, if this stage is prolonged, it may result in a recession. Resultantly, authorities gradually increase the interest rate which makes borrowing expensive. It leads to lesser demand for money thereby helping in cutting inflation rates.

Prior to the 1970s, the popularity of Keynesian economics eclipsed the importance of monetarism. Keynesian economics promoted government expenditure and tax reforms to manage economic development. However, Keynesian economics struggled to offer solutions to raging inflation in the 1970s following the oil price shock. As a result, it led economists and government authorities to explore other avenues such as the monetarist theory to establish economic stability.

Monetarist vs Keynesians

Below is a brief account of monetarist vs Keynesians, explaining the differences between the two.

Basis	Keynesians	Monetarist
Key factor	Aggregate demand	Monetary supply
Economy and market	Believes that economy is unstable and free markets are not self-sustaining	Believes in self-correcting powers of an economy to arrest hyperinflation or deflation.
Cause of inflation	Believes in cost-push inflation	Believes in demand-pull inflation
Cause of recession	Decrease in money supply	Drop-in government expenditure/investment
Policy	Government intervention through fiscal policy is preferred	They prefer monetary policies and minimal government intervention

Quantity Theory of Money

Monetarism embraces the Quantity Theory of Money. The theory holds that changes in the money supply causes proportionate changes in the demand of goods and services. Thus, the equation of exchange or quantity theory of money forms the basis of monetarist theory. The equation follows as MV = PQ. Let us look at all these terms in detail.

MV=PQ
M	Money supply
V	Velocity of money in circulation: the rate at which money changes hands
P	Average price of goods and services
Q	Quantity of goods and services sold

Many economists believe that when velocity is constant and predictable, it helps in controlling monetary supply appropriately. This also points to the fact that from a long term perspective, increases in money supply increases the price level hence causing inflation.

Monetarist Examples

Great Inflation in the US

From the mid-1960s to 1980, the US experienced poor economic growth, increased inflation, and high unemployment, all pointing to stagflation. The inflation rate was 14 percent in the 1980. Slow productivity and bear markets worsened the situation. The attempts of the US government to control the rampant inflation proved to be mostly ineffective.

Aside from oil price hikes, faulty policies were also criticised for triggering hyperinflation. Monetarists blamed increased government spending to achieve full employment as one of the integral factors causing inflation as it had increased the money supply exponentially. At last, Paul Volcker, who became chairman of the Federal Reserve Board in 1979, effectively confronted this period of hardship. The effect brought by Paul Volcker strategy is famously known as ‘Volcker shock’.

Volcker implemented monetarism views by increasing the Fed rate to nullify inflation rather than exhibiting inclination towards fiscal policies like government spending and taxation. However, the absence of prompt expansionary monetary policy resulted in a recession in 1981.

UK inflation 1970s-1980s

Margaret Thatcher was another dignitary who had embraced monetarism to battle inflation. The UK was experiencing prolonged inflation before the 1980s, hitting 25% in the mid-1970s. As a result, there was heavy unemployment, adding to the economic crisis.

After becoming the prime minister, Thatcher made decisions in line with monetarism, free-market concept, privatization and minimal government intervention. The base rate was increased to 17% to arrest inflation and it did eventually. Thatcher successfully brought down inflation by the early 1980s. However, while some sectors boomed terrifically, unemployment went up and manufacturing declined, decreasing the GDP.

Monetarist Theory Limitations

Maintaining steady and moderate growth of the money supply is impossible because money circulates in many forms. Therefore, spotting and channelizing the money supply is very difficult.
It seems as monetarist policies fall in place, it can also put pressure on the economy. Economic events are unpredictable and having a set growth rate could pressurize an economy when there is a massive gap between actual and estimated development.
In economics, the evidence supporting monetarist's beliefs is scarce.
The monetary policy excludes non-monetary factors such political interference, unequal wealth distribution, corruption, etc.

FAQs

1. What is the monetarist theory?

In economics, the monetarist theory is primarily associated with economist Milton Friedman. It suggests that controlling the money supply through monetary policy can control inflation and economic growth. In simple terms, the theory explains that the economic activity is directly proportional to the money supply in the nation.

2. What is the difference between Keynesian and monetarist?

They both have contradictory views when it comes to the factor influencing the economic growth. For example, Keynesian believes that government expenditure and tax policies drive the economic growth whereas monetarists believe that money supply is the prime factor in economic development.

3. What are the key ideas of monetarists?

Monetarists signify the importance of effective adjustment of the money supply to control inflation, recession or depression through monetary policies. They believe in the self-sustaining capability of a free market. They are against the Keynesian idea of increasing government spending and consumer spending to trigger aggregate demand.