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What Is A Forward Looking Statement?
A Forward Looking Statement refers to projections companies make to communicate their views or opinions of specific future events. Such statements cover financial information or outlook in line with securities laws. Since it is a projection, it contains expressions like expect, believe, plan, anticipate, could, potential, intend, possible, may, etc.
Such future-looking information is commonly found in financial reports, earnings calls, or other corporate communications to offer insights into a company's perspective. However, these statements involve risks as they do not guarantee or promise fulfillment. Moreover, the actual results may vary. Neither are they based on historical data nor related to current facts and therefore, they lack reliability.
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- A forward looking statement is an official estimation or prediction by a company's leadership about prospects, financial performance, or specific events affecting business, made according to legal guidelines.
- Such statements are usually released by publicly listed companies to inform shareholders, investors, suppliers, and customers about the corporate vision or expectations.
- These declarations are often uncertain and supported by cautionary language, including terms such as expect, anticipate, believe, possible, could, may, intend, plan, etc.
- Such statements are commonly used in deals or endeavors related to upcoming mergers and acquisitions, future financial performance, potential projects, new product development, and investment projections.
Forward Looking Statement Explained
A forward looking statement is often released by publicly held companies with a verbal or written communication related to crucial business information projecting future events, outlooks, collaborations, or other endeavors. These statements communicate the management's viewpoint, vision, opinion, or beliefs, but they do not give assurance/s of specific outcomes. Therefore, companies usually include cautionary language or terms like may, could, possible, plan, intend, etc., to notify investors of uncertainties or non-compliance risks.
These statements assist organizations in formulating future goals and strategies, facilitating effective long-term planning. They serve as valuable tools when used alongside other indicators to provide investors with insights into a company's vision, potential risks, and growth prospects. This futuristic perspective fosters clear communication, allowing management to share its expectations and aspirations with stakeholders.
Further, they foster innovation and boost a company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions. Moreover, organizations can proactively address present potential challenges and uncertainties through forward looking statements.
The fact that these statements are uncertain indicates the risk of adverse results. Companies may face legal consequences if actual results significantly deviate from the projections made in future-looking statements. Hence, they include a disclaimer about the chances of variation/s in actual results. This is done to highlight that these statements contain predictions and involve inherent uncertainties.
Moreover, such statements, if they stand false, may result in stock price fluctuations due to investors' dissatisfaction with poor outcomes. Sometimes, while framing such information, the management becomes overly optimistic, projecting unrealistic expectations.
Another facet of these statements that requires attention is the risk of revealing too much. If a company shares detailed information through these statements, it runs the risk of allowing its competitors to frame strategies to win the market.
When To Use?
Organizations use forward looking statements when discussing future expectations, projections, or plans related to business, finance, or investments and communicating the said observations or estimates to stakeholders. Companies often incorporate such information into financial reports, earnings calls, or official statements to offer insights into their prospective developments.
Given below are some situations where future-looking statements are employed.
- Lined-up Mergers and Acquisitions (M&As): In business collaborations, such statements disclose expected synergies, future financial results, and the strategic rationale behind the deal.
- Potential Financial Performance: Companies use forward looking statements to communicate anticipated financial performance in upcoming quarters or years.
- Future Outlook: Such information outlines future strategies, growth plans, anticipated business development, alignment with stakeholder expectations, etc.
- Project Financing Presentations: During presentations to investors, companies discuss such information to share their vision and detail the potential impact of initiatives on future performance.
- Future Operational Challenges: Such statements are also framed to inform internal stakeholders about the potential capital needs, working capital requirements, and liquidity position.
- Work-in-Progress Projects: Companies use future-looking statements to promote the benefits of a potential project or the ones that are in development or on the verge of completion and generate interest, curiosity, or excitement around these projects.
- Product Launches: When introducing new products or services, these statements outline expected market response, sales projections, and future innovations.
- Agreement Renewal: When agreements with suppliers, customers, or other partners are renewed, such information provides an overview of what parties can expect from one another.
Other than the situations discussed above, future-looking statements can be used for various other endeavors, including crisis management, public relations, etc.
Examples
The use of forward looking statements in business scenarios has already been seen above. In this section, let us use a few examples to elaborate upon and explain the concept in greater detail.
Example #1
XYZ Ltd. expects substantial growth in the upcoming year, 2024, driven by strategic initiatives such as the introduction of innovative products and partnering with industry giants. To communicate this, it drafts a forward looking statement in its presentation to potential investors. However, this optimistic outlook is contingent on a favorable market environment.
The company uses cautionary language and includes words like expect, possible, could, may, anticipate, and believe to clarify that these projections are not guaranteed and are subject to change due to various factors. Also, XYZ Ltd. is committed to transparency and plans to provide timely updates pertaining to any adjustments made to these statements later.
Example #2
Safe Harbor Statement, under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, refers to a legal provision that insulates companies from potential lawsuits arising from incorrect projections.
The presentation articulates forward looking statements related to the merger between a company subsidiary (S&P Global) and IHS Markit, outlining management's projections for future events. The language used in this presentation involves words such as anticipate and expect, covering various aspects like economic conditions, business strategies, and the consequences of the said merger. Risks that stakeholders must consider include global uncertainties, post-merger disruptions, regulatory changes, market volatility, and potential disasters.
The company emphasizes the dynamic nature of its business environment and advises caution in relying on these statements. It commits to ongoing updates and directs readers to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings for a comprehensive understanding of factors affecting its operations, including the risk factors detailed in its latest annual and quarterly reports.
Example #3
As Meta discloses its future outlook and projected financial performance for 2024 in the third quarter earnings report, 2023, it supports its projections with a forward looking statement.
The statement throws light on the company’s business plans and expected outcomes. It includes a disclaimer to ensure stakeholders understand the risks involved in depending on these statements. The statements touch upon matters like new products, brand image, privacy, content reviews, and data protection, among other important developments or changes.
How To Write?
Crafting a promising and reliable forward looking statement is quite tricky. However, given below are some tips to write one that balances optimism and a realistic acknowledgment of uncertainties.
- Legal Compliance Assurance: Ensuring that the statement complies with relevant securities laws and regulations helps companies avoid potential legal consequences and actions.
- Cautionary Language: Using cautionary terms such as anticipate, believe, estimate, or project to convey that predictions are contingent on current expectations and assumptions and are subject to change is important to avoid potential problems later.
- Risk Disclosure: Such statements should include a section outlining potential risks and uncertainties that might lead to deviations between actual results and the projections listed in forward looking statements. This ensures transparency and helps manage expectations.
- Assumption Clarity: Clearly articulate any underlying assumptions supporting such a statement to provide stakeholders with insight into the basis on which such projections are made.
- Temporal Specification: Defining the time frame for which the forward-looking information is relevant helps stakeholders assess its applicability over a specific period.
- Updates and Revisions Commitment: Expressing an assurance to update or revise the statement if circumstances change ensures transparency and accuracy.
- Non-Guarantee Disclaimer: Explicitly stating that future-looking statements do not guarantee said results but are mere expectations is crucial.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Private companies are not mandated by law to include forward looking statements, unlike publicly traded firms.
Such statements can be found in company reports, financial statements, and press releases, in sections detailing plans, goals, or projections.
The forward looking statement safe harbor is a legal provision that shields companies from liability when expressing expectations about future events. It is granted if companies act in good faith, disclose relevant risk factors, and include meaningful cautionary statements regarding uncertainties. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 governs such provisions in the US.
A standard disclaimer is -This document includes forward-looking statements that involve inherent risks and uncertainties. These statements are established on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about future events. They are subject to various factors that could deviate actual results materially from those expressed or implied. The Company disclaims any obligation to update these statements. Investors are cautioned to consider the inherent risks and uncertainties before making any investment decisions."
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